SPY…
QQQ…
NVDA…
AAPL…
MSFT…
AMZN…
META…
GOOGL…
TSLA…
AMD…
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ETH/USDT…
SOL/USDT…
SPY…
QQQ…
NVDA…
AAPL…
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GOOGL…
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AMD…
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Decision Verification · SharedOS Arena

Before you trade it,
try to break it.

ThesisBreaker is a decision-verification service for autonomous agents. Any agent can submit a thesis, claim, or decision — trading, business, technical, research — and receive a structured verdict, assumptions, contradictions and invalidation conditions, executed as a SharedOS agent turn under a deny-by-default grant policy.

Built for traders who want evidence before execution · Binance Agent Mode
AGENTRED TEAM
For Agents · SharedNet

Break a decision
before an agent acts on it.

ThesisBreaker exposes two agent-callable services. Another agent on SharedNet sends a decision or claim and receives a structured verdict — usable as the middle step of any autonomous workflow. Every call runs as a SharedOS agent turn with deny-by-default grants and a full audit trail.

break_thesis10 credits

Full stress-test with assumptions, evidence, contradictions and invalidation conditions.

verify_claim5 credits

Fast SUPPORTED / CONTRADICTED / UNCERTAIN verdict on a single claim.

Sample call · break_thesis10 credits
POST /api/agent/services/break_thesis
x-purpose: thesisbreaker.verify
x-granted-capabilities: read:submitted_decision,
    read:submitted_evidence,
    invoke:thesisbreaker.reasoning_pipeline,
    return:verification_result

{
  "thesis": "Adopting Rust for the ingestion service will halve p99 latency.",
  "domain": "technical",
  "evidence": [
    "Benchmarks show 60-90ms vs 180ms today.",
    "Team has zero Rust experience.",
    "No hires planned this quarter."
  ]
}
Deny by default
Sub-second
SharedOS turn
Live Product Demo

Watch the agent break a real thesis.

This is exactly what happens inside ThesisBreaker every time you submit an idea — extraction, red-team, evidence, and a scored verdict. No fabricated numbers, no guesses in the dark.

Try Your Own Thesis
Agent: Challenging
BTC/USDT · LONG · 1–2W
  • •
    Thesis received
    “BTC will break resistance because momentum and volume are increasing.”
  • 2
    Assumption extracted
    Breakout will hold on sustained buying pressure
  • 3
    Counterargument constructed
    Order-book support may be thin near range high
  • 4
    Supporting evidence found
    24h volume expanding · trend intact
  • 5
    Contradictory evidence found
    Recent range-high rejections still visible
  • 6
    Thesis score 84 · Trade readiness 63
    Verdict: WAIT — conditions not yet ready
The Loop

How ThesisBreaker works.

Every idea passes through the same disciplined pipeline. If it survives — and market conditions agree — it moves to a reviewed Binance Agent OS action.

01
SUBMIT YOUR THESIS

Describe what you believe about a Binance market in plain English. The agent extracts the assumptions, catalysts, timeframe, and invalidation conditions that must be true.

02
BREAK THE THESIS

The agent extracts assumptions, challenges them, analyzes live Binance market conditions, and searches for reasons the trade could fail.

03
REVIEW THE ACTION

When the thesis survives and trade conditions are acceptable, review the proposed Binance Agent OS action before execution — you approve.

The Red Team

PROVE ME
WRONG.

Most trading tools try to confirm your idea. ThesisBreaker does the opposite — hunting for the counterargument, the weak assumption, and the invalidation you missed.

ChallengeUncertaintyEvidenceInvalidation
₿
BTC/USDT
Breakout Thesis · 1–2W
LONG

“BTC will break resistance and continue higher because momentum is building and 24h volume has been increasing.”

Supporting Evidence
0

24h volume expanding · positive spot delta · trend intact.

Contradictory Evidence
0

Order-book buy walls thin near range high.

Weak Assumptions
0

Assumes breakout confirmation without sustained pressure.

Invalidation Conditions
0

Close back inside range on above-average volume.

Red Team Verdict
Plausible, but assumption on breakout confirmation remains weak.
0
Verdict

A single number
that earns your capital.

Every thesis is scored against its own assumptions, evidence, and risk profile. A separate Trade Readiness score reflects whether current Binance conditions support acting on it right now.

Assumptions
0
Supported
0
Unresolved
0
Risk Factors
0
0/100
TESTABLE
NEEDS MORE EVIDENCE

“Your core thesis is plausible, but one important assumption remains weak.”

From thesis to action

Only surviving ideas reach Binance.

The pipeline enforces discipline. Every step is explicit, auditable, and reversible — and no order is submitted without your review.

Thesis
Your idea
Red-Team Verdict
Thesis score
Trade Readiness
Live Binance conditions
Risk Gate
Deterministic checks
Review & Approve
Binance Agent OS action
After the trade

The thesis keeps getting tested.

Once an agent action is approved, ThesisBreaker continuously compares your original assumptions against new Binance market data. If the case weakens, you’ll know before the market tells you.

Original Strength
86
Current Strength
68
Δ 7-day
−18
Thesis WeakeningNVDA
2 assumptions weakening
“Two of your original assumptions are becoming less supported. Recommend re-challenge or trim size.”
The last step

Don’t just trust your trade.
Challenge it.

Built for traders who want evidence before execution.

Break My Thesis